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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.043 | $0.43 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.022 |
| $2.2 |
| Jul 25, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.700 | $210.05 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.757 | $75.7 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 350 | $0.965 | $337.75 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 44 | $0.967 | $42.55 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 53.59 | $0.966 | $51.77 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 45.02 | $0.962 | $43.31 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 278.54 | $0.817 | $227.57 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 710.52 | $0.908 | $645.17 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.850 | $46.75 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 105.22 | $0.250 | $26.31 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | sell | 315.9 | $0.750 | $236.94 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 732.4 | $0.896 | $656.56 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 315.91 | $0.729 | $230.39 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Biden helped off stage at the debate?No | sell | 17.56 | $0.765 | $13.43 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Biden stumbles during debate?No | buy | 79 | $0.910 | $71.89 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Will Shkreli deactivate his X account by Friday?No | buy | 125 | $0.960 | $120 | Jun 19, 2024 |
| Biden helped off stage at the debate?No | buy | 17.56 | $0.640 | $11.24 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 VanEck tweet "retardio" in April?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.029 | $75 | Apr 23, 2024 |