Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 50.2% on 1 Sep 2026. $4.77K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 10:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 19 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| weatherprod | Yes | 1.74K |
| crckr | Yes | 286.48 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Tier 2 team qualifies for VALORANT Champions 2026, currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Tier 2 team means any team that is not one of the partnered (franchised) organizations of a VCT 2026 international league (Americas, EMEA, Pacific, or China). Whether the organization holds league partner status is the sole determinant. Teams that entered their league's Stage 2 through the Play-In path as Challengers or National Competition participants are examples of Tier 2 teams. Qualifying means being officially confirmed by Riot Games as a participating team of VALORANT Champions 2026, whether through a Stage 2 result, Championship Points, a replacement or substitution, or any other official allocation method. A Tier 2 team that is officially confirmed as a participant and later withdraws or is replaced will still count as having qualified. If a Tier 2 team is officially confirmed as a participant, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Confirmations of replacement participants will count through the scheduled end of the event. If no Tier 2 team has been officially confirmed as a participant by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, including if VALORANT Champions 2026 is cancelled or its field is never confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games and the VALORANT Champions Tour; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/valorant-champions-2026-tier-2-team-to-qualify
| Yes |
| 80 |
| christmas-punch | Yes | 6.99 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
