
The Nova Esports side is at 90%, up 16 points from 74% at 21 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Across 17 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, the highest read was 78% on 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC and the lowest 55% on 22 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The current quote, 90%, is above every read in that window; the latest read was 72% on 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
It is one of 14 markets under “Valorant: Nova Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1”.
$28.82K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $849.2, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $7.22K bought Nova Esports and $5.87K bought Any Questions Gaming.
The largest Nova Esports position is madkkee with 4.9K shares; the largest Any Questions Gaming position is gregbeast with 4K. Ten wallets hold 47.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 1:34 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsHourly closes of the Nova Esports price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 21 Oct, 14:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 13:00 UTC, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Nova Esports price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 74.0% |
| 22 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 72.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| madkkee | Nova Esports | 4.89K |
| gregbeast | Any Questions Gaming | 4K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Any Questions Gaming | 3.4K |
This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 4 match between Nova Esports and Any Questions Gaming in the VCT Threshold China Week 1, initially scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against Any Questions Gaming. This market will resolve to "Any Questions Gaming" if Any Questions Gaming win the match against Nova Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/val-nova-aq-2026-10-22
2 more markets, none above 0.5%.
| teardropsaidmyname | Nova Esports | 1.5K |
| Fresh-Tailspin-Objective | Nova Esports | 1.44K |
| suntori | Any Questions Gaming | 1.32K |
| Vigilant-Environment | Any Questions Gaming | 1.17K |
| edg-cxy0714 | Nova Esports | 877.97 |
| arahbo | Any Questions Gaming | 823 |
| chaeri | Nova Esports | 816.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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