Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 11% on 19 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 11% on 19 Jun 2025 and the low 0.6% on 21 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.7 points down, to 5.3% on 20 Jun 2025. $41.37K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 22, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 19 Jun 2025 – 21 Jun 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2025 | 11.0% |
| 21 Jun 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmyjim12251989 | Yes | 5.55K |
| archangelmichail | Yes | 85.86 |
| testtesttesttesttesttesttesttesttest | Yes | 14.93 |
| Outlying-Marxism | Yes | 14.57 |
| Patrykpati | Yes | 10.57 |
| SYSY.CN | No | 0.02 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that official nuclear-related negotiations between the United States and Iran resume at any point on between June 18 and June 20, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the talks must involve official representatives of both governments and focus primarily on nuclear issues, such as uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, IAEA inspections, or the JCPOA. Talks may be direct or mediated, and may occur in person or virtually. Only the actual resumption of talks will count; announcements that talks have been scheduled to resume will not alone qualify. Unofficial backchannel communications, general diplomatic meetings not centered on nuclear issues, or one-sided public proposals will not qualify. The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-nuclear-talks-resume-by-friday
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