Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 14 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2025 to 15 Dec 2025, the price held at 1.9%. $124.36K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Dec 2025 – 15 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | 1.8% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 643 |
| Fake-Coleslaw | Yes | 329.66 |
| Elcaroeht | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-syria-by
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 241 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 212 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 187 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 171 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 155 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
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