Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 23 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2025 to 26 Jun 2025, the highest close was 15.5% on 23 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 26 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 2.8% on 24 Jun 2025. $21.94K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Jun 2025 – 26 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2025 | 15.5% |
| 26 Jun 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kjkgdr3jhg | Yes | 627.53 |
| Ogdemon | Yes | 416.67 |
| Pheonon | Yes | 76.38 |
| Voldemortt | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an US military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-on-526
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| anony11 | Yes | 61.22 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 30.04 |
| Haonl | Yes | 20 |
| etern1ty | Yes | 13.89 |
| HerrWinkler | Yes | 7.69 |
| Naranjan43 | Yes | 6.67 |
