Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 10.8% on 17 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 31 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.1 points down, to 2.7% on 18 Dec 2024. $125.9K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 3:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 12 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kasandra9 | Yes | 6.67K |
| tw6g | Yes | 1.52K |
| Vladimir333 | Yes | 173.06 |
| AA42 | Yes | 102.75 |
| AriTheGreat | Yes | 10 |
| Kangelonmusk | Yes | 5 |
| circoloco | No | 1 |
| Cuco | No | 0.07 |
| Jhgjgu | No | 0.06 |
| Care1 | No | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-recognizes-syrian-government-in-2024
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