US Open: Swiatek vs. Pegula

Resolved

Pegula, settled Sep 5, 2024 UTC

Swiatek

0.0%

Pegula

100.0%

Final Swiatek 0¢Final Pegula 100¢

Lifetime volume

$213.3K

Resolved

Pegula

Settled

Sep 5, 2024 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved Pegula on 5 Sep 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Pegula at 52.5%. The Swiatek side opened at 77% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 5 Sep 2024, the highest close was 77% on 4 Sep 2024 and the lowest 47.5% on 5 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 47.5% on 5 Sep 2024. $213.3K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 1:43 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Swiatek price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 5 Sep 2024, chart shows 40%–90%

Swiatek price, first and latest
Observed	Swiatek price
4 Sep 2024	77.0%
5 Sep 2024	47.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Animated-Resolve	Swiatek	328.95
Shabby-Wholesale	Swiatek	1.28
CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente	Swiatek	0.05

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula are scheduled to play each other in a quarterfinal matchup in the US Open Women’s Singles Tournament on September 4, 2024, 7:00 PM. This market will resolve to “Swiatek” if Iga Swiatek wins her match against Jessica Pegula in the quarterfinals of the US Open Women’s Singles tournament. This market will resolve to “Pegula” if Jessica Pegula wins her match against Iga Swiatek in the quarterfinals of the US Open Women’s Singles tournament. If the match ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond September 11, 2024, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (ex: https://www.usopen.org/index.html) including live footage, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.