Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 27 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 7.5% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Jun 2026. $94.1K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Experienced-Healthcare | Yes | 1.12K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| 2117 | Yes | 999.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-june-30
| MX123 | Yes | 808.58 |
| Enormous-Response | Yes | 502.86 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 175 |
| Crushing-Everyone | Yes | 156.52 |
| Measly-Desert | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Orbit 6EB0 | Yes | 71.43 |
| Classic-Max | Yes | 33.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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