Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 177.5 | $0.220 | $7.99 | -$31.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.28 | $0.248 | $10 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 40.28 |
| $0.248 |
| $7.05 |
| -$2.95 |
| buy |
| 714.29 |
| $0.021 |
| $15 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 96.46 | $0.999 | $96.36 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 300.12 | $0.100 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 96.46 | $0.622 | $60 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 294.11 | $0.988 | $290.59 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 177.5 | $0.220 | $39 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.680 | $200 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Yes | buy | 377.41 | $0.026 | $9.88 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 209.58 | $0.048 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?Yes | buy | 808.58 | $0.025 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.180 | $40 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 802.38 | $0.033 | $26.62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 802.38 | $0.044 | $35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.18 | $0.310 | $6.88 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 384.61 | $0.800 | $307.69 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 207.27 | $0.600 | $124.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.390 | $150 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 207.27 | $0.579 | $120 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 220.58 | $0.999 | $220.36 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 385.98 | $0.389 | $150 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 220.59 | $0.680 | $150 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?No | sell | 209.58 | $0.445 | $93.22 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No | sell | 125.25 | $0.318 | $39.83 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?No | buy | 209.58 | $0.477 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No | buy | 125.25 | $0.319 | $40 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 394.47 | $0.516 | $203.52 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?No | buy | 78.44 | $0.352 | $27.6 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.730 | $182.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 394.48 | $0.507 | $200 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 871.61 | $0.032 | $27.89 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.600 | $150 | May 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 362.31 | $0.709 | $256.7 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 871.61 | $0.057 | $50 | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 362.32 | $0.690 | $250 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 307.69 | $0.611 | $187.97 | May 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | buy | 632.16 | $0.237 | $150 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.650 | $200 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 338.98 | $0.700 | $237.29 | May 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 363.63 | $0.580 | $210.91 | May 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 363.64 | $0.550 | $200 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 344.82 | $0.810 | $279.3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 344.83 | $0.580 | $200 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown | buy | 81.36 | $0.610 | $49.63 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 250.54 | $0.320 | $80.17 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 615.38 | $0.013 | $8 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 98.76 | $0.506 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 238.31 | $0.346 | $82.51 | Apr 4, 2026 |