Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 18 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 18 May 2023 to 2 Jun 2023, the highest close was 55% on 19 May 2023 and the lowest 3% on 31 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 18% on 27 May 2023. $234.31K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 4:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 18 May 2023 – 2 Jun 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 May 2023 | 46.5% |
| 2 Jun 2023 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vigilant-Pipe | Yes | 1.8K |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 1.45K |
| Lumbering-Clef | Yes | 871.21 |
| Untried-Danger | Yes | 538.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over when the US debt ceiling will be raised.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-debt-ceiling-hike-by
| Starry-Track | Yes | 318.93 |
| Old-Arrogance | Yes | 300 |
| Clown | Yes | 80 |
| Frightened-Stuff | Yes | 15.69 |
| Well-Made-Ectodermal | Yes | 1.47 |
| Amber Summit D68B | Yes | 0.02 |
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