Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.8%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 13 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 78.5% on 26 Dec 2023 and the lowest 4.2% on 1 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 71 points down, to 7.5% on 27 Dec 2023. $107.43K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 13 Dec 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2023 | 23.5% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 4.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 4.59K |
| Anonio-998 | Yes | 95.71 |
| acceptnothing | Yes | 45.33 |
| Tenable-Dome | Yes | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Congress passes a bill granting military aid to Ukraine between December 11 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-congress-approve-more-ukraine-aid-in-2023
| eudaemonium | No | 0.06 |
| lordprotector - 7340 | No | 0.06 |
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