Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6% on 9 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 6% on 9 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2025. $81.88K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 9 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aremos | Yes | 5K |
| scw | Yes | 1.88K |
| Trumputin | No | 0.01 |
| Royal Oracle 375C | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. announces that they are occupying/using Bagram air base in Afghanistan for military or intelligence operations by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements form the U.S government and military.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-announces-afghanistan-military-base-in-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
