Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 3 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 3 Aug 2024 to 6 Sep 2024, the highest close was 25% on 3 Aug 2024 and the lowest 11.5% on 11 Aug 2024. $17.88K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 7, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 3 Aug 2024 – 6 Sep 2024, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2024 | 25.0% |
| 6 Sep 2024 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.07K |
| alvaleonarda28 | Yes | 126.32 |
| sheesh | Yes | 18.75 |
| shibawino | No | 0.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 114,000 in July 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 200,000 (inclusive) and 250,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August, scheduled to be released on September 6, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-august
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
