Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 67.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 7 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 7 Sep 2024 to 4 Oct 2024, the highest close was 37.5% on 7 Sep 2024 and the lowest 26.5% on 18 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 28.5% on 8 Sep 2024. $36.29K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 2:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 7 Sep 2024 – 4 Oct 2024, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Sep 2024 | 37.5% |
| 4 Oct 2024 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.19K |
| heuer | Yes | 875.06 |
| Hop | Yes | 366.07 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 142,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 150,000 (inclusive) and 200,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on October 4, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-september
| blackpony | Yes | 100 |
| Moonshotmas | Yes | 40 |
| vvdher | No | 0.08 |
| hizik | Yes | 0.03 |
| Axios | Yes | 0.02 |
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