Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 23 Jul 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 7% on 2 Jul 2026. $4.76K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 24, 9:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 23 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 28.5% |
| 23 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dropmeplease | Yes | 219.94 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Raw-Anteater | Yes | 25 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CXMT shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM China Standard Time on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If CXMT is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from CXMT and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from CXMT; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cxmt-ipo-by-20260629164309096
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 5.01 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 0.15 |
| QMG-CORE | No | 0.01 |
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