Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 3 Oct 2026, the highest close was 46.7% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 3 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 46.7% on 22 Sep 2026. $6.76K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 3 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 8.5% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| crossFiter | Yes | 250 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 76.18 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Umia's token is listed for spot trading on the exchange named in the title within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Umia after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET). Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify. Roadmap additions, listing announcements, and deposit-only support do not qualify unless spot trading is live by the deadline. Listings available only on regional or affiliate platforms (e.g. Binance.US, Binance TR, Binance Alpha, Coinbase International Exchange, Upbit Singapore) do not qualify. A listing qualifies regardless of jurisdictional availability. Spot trading does not need to be accessible in any specific country or region, provided it is live on the exchange's primary global platform. If Umia does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the respective exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/umia-listed-on-within-30-days-of-tge
| PPMT | Yes | 29.96 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 28 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 16.32 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 7.04 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
