Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2025 to 20 Oct 2025, the highest close was 97.5% on 16 Oct 2025 and the lowest 30.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 55 points up, to 97.5% on 16 Oct 2025. $14.76K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Oct 2025 – 20 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | 30.5% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 311 |
| msen | No | 136.97 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 117 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between October 9, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-sanctions-on-russia-by-october-31
| Cjnovem | No | 25.64 |
| Legend- | No | 24.99 |
| assertequal | No | 16 |
| GodBet | No | 15 |
| PValdo | No | 12.66 |
| Beyitr | Yes | 11.26 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
