Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 May 2026 to 14 May 2026, the highest close was 83% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 39% on 13 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 83% on 14 May 2026. $56.96K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 5:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 May 2026 – 14 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 14 May 2026 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrNordic | No | 9.63K |
| thequantumgoat | No | 2.9K |
| LukeGamma | No | 1.46K |
| DoNotRevelate | No | 1.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-cabinet-minister-resigns-in-february
| Verifiable-Grove | No | 1.34K |
| Aeeeeee | No | 1.05K |
| anwarazeez | No | 1K |
| Michajlowski | No | 576.48 |
| meifreefly | No | 390.4 |
| McProducer | No | 333.33 |
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