Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 24%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 18 Aug 2026 and the low 24% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31.5% on 25 Aug 2026. $777.61 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 16 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thirsty-Breakpoint | No | 6.88 |
| Optimistic-Papa | No | 1.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Yan Xiaonan and Denise Gomes at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-yan2-den5-2026-08-29
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