
Yes is at 50%, about where the market opened on 18 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 50%.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $3.92, with a 94.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 10:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 18 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Yana Santos and Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-yan1-lua4-2026-10-31
7 more markets, none above 50.0%.
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