Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2026 to 22 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 38.5% on 22 Aug 2026. $942.49 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 9:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 9 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Youngtradoss | Yes | 227.27 |
| Stockjesper | Yes | 37.21 |
| Tonac69 | Yes | 6.74 |
| ufcrich | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Wes Schultz and Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-wes5-jac22-2026-08-22
New to prediction markets?
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| Spicyfeta | Yes | 1.79 |
| Rocks3 | No | 0.5 |
