Analytics
Resolved Valesca Machado on 27 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Valesca Machado at 64.5%. The Valesca Machado side opened at 50% on 13 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2026 to 27 Sep 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 50% on 13 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 66.5% on 16 Sep 2026. $177.66K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 12:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Valesca Machado price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 27 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Valesca Machado price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Melissa Amaya | 16.81K |
| GEAEW | Melissa Amaya | 11.69K |
| Valuable-Span-Casket | Melissa Amaya | 1.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Valesca Machado" if Valesca Machado is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Amaya at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Amaya" if Melissa Amaya is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-val1-melama-2026-09-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Melissa Amaya |
| 1.18K |
| Melodic-Behalf | Melissa Amaya | 1.03K |
| DurchdenHandelstimmstdu | Melissa Amaya | 551.64 |
| Metallic-Salad-Lesson | Melissa Amaya | 472.22 |
| Brave-Stand | Melissa Amaya | 300 |
| Kuntro2 | Melissa Amaya | 300 |
| CrazyDeLaCaks | Melissa Amaya | 291.21 |
