Analytics
Resolved Tom Pagliarulo on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Tom Pagliarulo at 44%. The Tom Pagliarulo side opened at 50% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 4 Aug 2026 and the low 33.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 33.5% on 6 Aug 2026. $44.44K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 12:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Tom Pagliarulo price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 12 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Tom Pagliarulo price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 44.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IGBGMN | Ananias Mulumba | 2.97K |
| mikesports | Ananias Mulumba | 1.71K |
| Carefree-Quarter | Ananias Mulumba | 1.05K |
| Vivacious-Blackfish | Ananias Mulumba |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Tom Pagliarulo" if Tom Pagliarulo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ananias Mulumba at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1, scheduled for August 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Ananias Mulumba" if Ananias Mulumba is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tpagli-ana1-2026-08-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 999.98 |
| lomatic | Ananias Mulumba | 725.29 |
| PontiusPilate | Ananias Mulumba | 593.8 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Ananias Mulumba | 592 |
| Angelic-Planter | Ananias Mulumba | 528.31 |
| polarbear123 | Ananias Mulumba | 418.79 |
| MadeiraIsland | Ananias Mulumba | 391.62 |
