Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 13%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 14 Sep 2026 and the low 12% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26.5% on 15 Sep 2026. $49.53 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 20, 10:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 6 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| eqzwe103qwie | No | 49.53 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tai Tuivasa and Robelis Despaigne at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tai1-rob18-2026-09-19
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