Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2026 to 29 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27% on 25 Aug 2026. $7.4K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 12:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 16 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 1.8K |
| Granyslapr | Yes | 555.56 |
| dovinci | Yes | 111.11 |
| Vv7777777 | Yes | 83.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-son-uma-2026-08-29
New to prediction markets?
| Thin-Sermon | Yes | 55.56 |
| Overjoyed-Aid-Conception | Yes | 50 |
| 0xtrador | Yes | 50 |
| Naokifachin | Yes | 34.48 |
| murray-815 | Yes | 31.33 |
| Vonkstar | Yes | 16.67 |
