
Resolved Yes on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 100% on 26 Aug 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 100% on 26 Aug 2026. $760.82 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 12:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Legal-Knot-Neglect | No | 151.66 |
| Thirsty-Breakpoint | No | 30 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ronald Humphrey and Alexis Miranda at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3, scheduled for August 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ronhum-alemir-2026-08-25
New to prediction markets?