Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 34% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 36.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $95.04 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| claudesports | Yes | 56 |
| Coral Tide 992C | Yes | 28.57 |
| Last-Proctor-Coevolution | Yes | 1.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Roman Kopylov and Ateba Gautier at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rom-ate-2026-10-03
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