Analytics
Yes is at 37%, down 13 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $2.3K, with a 26.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacobe Smith defeats Randy Brown at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ran3-jac21-2026-10-31
7 more markets, none above 29.0%.
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