Analytics
Resolved Under on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 48.5%. The Over side opened at 51% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 20 Oct 2026. $5.2K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 51.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daa | Over | 1.02K |
| slimjoe | Over | 721.95 |
| Melodic-Behalf | Over | 510 |
| roscoff | Over | 374.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Ramazan Temirov and Lone'er Kavanagh at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ram10-lon-2026-10-24
| caspar1248 | Over | 48.5 |
| a5533 | Over | 20 |
| mcherry84 | Over | 11.2 |
| ufcrich | Over | 3.92 |
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