Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 30 Aug 2026 and the low 21% on 12 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28.5% on 9 Sep 2026. $6 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 6:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 12 Sep 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | 21.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Rafa Garcia and Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf3-ron2-2026-09-12
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