Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 51% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 5 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 26.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $1.86K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 8:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlueBase-568 | Yes | 807.56 |
| Neon Kestrel 2504 | Yes | 317.44 |
| Troubled-Tackle | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Punahele Soriano and Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-pun-dan59-2026-09-05
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