Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 51% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 43% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 43% on 2 Sep 2026. $1.87K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 8:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Exciting-Wharf | Yes | 638.3 |
| Petty-Footage | Yes | 74.47 |
| Shiny-Moat | Yes | 52.04 |
| Thirsty-Breakpoint | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniil Donchenko defeats Punahele Soriano at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-pun-dan59-2026-09-05
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