Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 6 Sep 2026 to 19 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 27.5% on 16 Sep 2026.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 11:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Sep 2026 – 19 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | 12.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ozzy Diaz and Ryan Gandra at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ozz-rya18-2026-09-19
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