Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 37.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2026 to 23 Sep 2026, the highest close was 62.5% on 23 Sep 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 62.5% on 23 Sep 2026. $543.04 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 1:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 23 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Norbert Növényi Jr. and Theo Haig at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nornov-the3-2026-09-22
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