Analytics
Yes is at 59.5%, up 9 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 51%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 60% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)”.
$512.54 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $520 since listing. The order book holds $3.26K, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Gaditima with 513 shares; the largest No position is roscoff with 499.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 59.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gaditima | Yes | 512.54 |
| roscoff | No | 499 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | No | 16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Nikita Krylov and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nik2-abd8-2026-10-24
7 more markets, none above 11.5%.
| chesco |
| Yes |
| 7.46 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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