Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 27.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $2.34K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 2:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lopesss | Yes | 102.17 |
| lingoGold | Yes | 101.17 |
| Lunar Horizon 1F78 | Yes | 65.22 |
| drunkycs | Yes | 61.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalia Silva defeats Wang Cong at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nat7-wan2-2026-10-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Daik99 | Yes | 38.46 |
| Bright Harbor 310A | Yes | 32.15 |
| Caviar.mx | Yes | 27.78 |
| Jade Raven 8A6B | Yes | 24.73 |
| Lunar Horizon F9E5 | Yes | 22.22 |
| edisonc | Yes | 18.52 |
