Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 20 Sep 2026 and the low 13.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $199.67 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 2:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 20 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MoneyMachine39 | Yes | 111.11 |
| Elastic-Banquette | Yes | 63 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Natalia Silva and Wang Cong at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nat7-wan2-2026-10-03
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