Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 23%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2026 to 29 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 23% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 31% on 25 Aug 2026. $11.15K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 10:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 16 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | No | 9.47K |
| 0xtrador | No | 100 |
| pionter | No | 5 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Namsrai Batbayar and Andre Lima at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-nam1-and26-2026-08-29
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