Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 1 Sep 2026 and the low 8.5% on 5 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 27% on 2 Sep 2026. $2.18K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 7:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 2.15K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Muhammad Naimov and Losene Keita at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-muh-los-2026-09-05
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