Analytics
The Mitch Raposo side is at 31.5%, down 19 points from 50% when the market opened on 29 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Oct 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 29 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 6 Nov 2026. A week before that last close the Mitch Raposo side was at 37.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)”.
$9.69K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.5K since listing. The order book holds $19.86K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 41 trades, $47.37 bought Mitch Raposo and $8.91K bought Marcos Degli; the largest was a $6.25K buy of Marcos Degli at 67.0¢.
The largest Mitch Raposo position is FKMY with 7.6K shares; the largest Marcos Degli position is SineNooneEI with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 97.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Mitch Raposo price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Mitch Raposo price |
|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 31.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SineNooneEI | Marcos Degli | 9.33K |
| FKMY | Mitch Raposo | 7.56K |
| randypunt | Mitch Raposo | 4.55K |
This market will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcos Degli at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcos Degli" if Marcos Degli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mit2-mardeg-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 29.0%.
| ciriti | Marcos Degli | 1.39K |
| clownfishbets | Marcos Degli | 1.15K |
| ox1star84 | Marcos Degli | 750 |
| Loose-Sunbeam | Mitch Raposo | 490 |
| omnibus-076daa | Marcos Degli | 275.34 |
| rendouz | Mitch Raposo | 274.61 |
| yakz | Mitch Raposo | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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