Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 15 Oct 2026. $1.67K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 3:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Damaged-Aperitif-Kick | Yes | 733.3 |
| Elval | Yes | 201.26 |
| real.tars | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mike Malott and Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mik9-joa3-2026-10-17
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