Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 9% on 15 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 16% on 10 Jun 2026. $1.58K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 2:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 26 May 2026 – 15 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 9.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Blockban | Yes | 493.4 |
| Reflecting-Cellar | Yes | 108.8 |
| morpheus22 | Yes | 38.35 |
| Enormous-Rostrum | Yes | 38.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chandler and Mauricio Ruffy at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mic12-mau4-2026-06-14
| jc413 | Yes | 15.38 |
| Nothingmore | Yes | 13.33 |
| DOODAD62 | Yes | 11.87 |
| Excellent-Poncho-Illusion | Yes | 10 |
| Rural-Window | Yes | 7.69 |
| eravera | Yes | 6.67 |
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