Analytics
Trading is closed with the Melissa Gatto side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 65.5% on 3 Oct 2026 and the low 50.5% on 8 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 57.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
$851.34K has traded since listing.
The largest Melissa Gatto position is trademaker with 0 shares; the largest Ernesta Kareckaite position is Mario8888 with 0.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 10:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Melissa Gatto price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Melissa Gatto price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 65.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| trademaker | Melissa Gatto | 0.04 |
| Mario8888 | Ernesta Kareckaite | 0.04 |
| Madeira99 | Ernesta Kareckaite | 0.03 |
| dwedwd | Ernesta Kareckaite | 0.01 |
| polarbear123 | Ernesta Kareckaite | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Melissa Gatto" if Melissa Gatto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Ernesta Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mel1-ern2-2026-10-10
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