Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 3 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 32.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $10 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 6:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 21.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Modestas Bukauskas and Oumar Sy at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mbukau-oum-2026-09-05
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