Analytics
Resolved Marcio Barbosa on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Marcio Barbosa at 86.5%. The Marcio Barbosa side opened at 88.5% on 17 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2026 to 22 Aug 2026, the highest close was 88.5% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 86% on 21 Aug 2026. $147.9K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 10:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Marcio Barbosa price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 17 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026, chart shows 82%–94%
| Observed | Marcio Barbosa price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | 88.5% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 86.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Ryan Kuse | 20.41K |
| Ashamed-Mutton | Ryan Kuse | 8.48K |
| madkkee | Ryan Kuse | 8.45K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Ryan Kuse | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Marcio Barbosa" if Marcio Barbosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Kuse at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryan Kuse" if Ryan Kuse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mar91-ryakus-2026-08-22
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