Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 26 Aug 2026. $15 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 12:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IncelnasHorasvagas | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mario Piazzon and Guilherme Uriel at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3, scheduled for August 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mar81-gui3-2026-08-25
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