Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 11% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 11% on 26 Aug 2026. $46.53 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 12:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| forecastication4 | Yes | 36 |
| gcode772 | Yes | 10.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mario Piazzon and Guilherme Uriel at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3, scheduled for August 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mar81-gui3-2026-08-25
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