Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 33.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 67% on 19 Sep 2026 and the low 50% on 6 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 61.5% on 15 Sep 2026.
Polymarket record as of Sep 20, 1:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 6 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 66.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Marlon Vera and Charles Jourdain at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-mar8-cha3-2026-09-19
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