Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, the highest close was 51% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 35% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 35% on 2 Sep 2026. $48.97 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 12:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 2 Sep 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Yes | 32.06 |
| Stimulating-Chief | Yes | 11.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Liam McCracken and Silvestre Sanchez at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-liamcc-silsan-2026-09-01
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